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Red82
634028.1
808016.1
590015.6
Blue52
510918.1
71049.8
348920.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68490204060801001208252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.2
26.526.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End0.9
red by 7.1
3489
#36
20.90.0
22.322.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
Second
8080
#15
16.10.2
17.517.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
blue by 2.0
5109
#34
18.10.0
16.816.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Third
5900
#30
15.60.2
15.215.3
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.6
red by 5.9
7104
#45
9.80.0
7.47.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed