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Red38
808016.1
691929.7
381512.1
Blue60
349015.9
141428.9
332913.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67674050607080903860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.6
30.128.5
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End0.7
red by 0.7
28.90.3
30.129.8
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
8080
#15
16.11.6
17.716.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 0.2
3490
#44
15.90.3
16.215.9
Auto9.0
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Third
3815
#46
12.11.6
13.712.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 1.2
3329
#28
13.30.3
13.613.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed