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Red76
636627.8
950015.0
110227.7
Blue33
95718.8
450929.3
281516.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78630501001507633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.5
27.127.6
Auto9.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
blue by 1.6
4509
#13
29.31.7
29.728.0
Auto13.0
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Second
1102
#17
27.70.5
27.227.7
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
red by 11.2
2815
#37
16.51.7
18.216.5
Auto10.4
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Third
9500
#20
15.00.5
14.615.0
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 6.2
9571
#38
8.81.7
10.58.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsMissed