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Red120
857522.6
177151.4
297446.3
Blue74
529320.5
141428.9
126135.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136915010015020012074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.0
50.650.5
Auto22.3
Teleop23.9
End5.2
red by 15.8
1261
#11
35.60.3
36.336.0
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End0.9
Second
46.30.0
45.545.4
Auto13.9
Teleop32.0
End0.4
red by 17.4
28.90.3
29.729.4
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
8575
#14
22.60.0
21.821.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.1
End1.7
red by 2.1
5293
#18
20.50.3
21.321.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End0.5