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Red84
126135.6
348920.9
141428.9
Blue65
110227.7
453325.8
692521.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998140601201401608465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#11
35.60.5
36.435.8
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End0.9
red by 7.9
1102
#17
27.70.2
27.727.4
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Second
28.90.5
29.829.2
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 3.2
25.80.2
25.825.5
Auto10.1
Teleop13.0
End2.6
Third
3489
#36
20.90.5
21.520.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
blue by 1.0
6925
#29
21.90.2
21.921.7
Auto11.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4