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Red52
95005.2
634016.3
411215.5
Blue62
691921.6
174617.3
47015.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404902060801001201401605262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End0.9
blue by 5.3
21.60.4
21.221.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Second
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto10.2
Teleop4.7
End0.6
blue by 1.9
17.30.4
16.917.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Third
9500
#23
5.20.0
5.25.2
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 0.1
4701
#22
5.10.4
4.85.1
Auto1.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8