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Red31
60234.6
174617.3
40264.9
Blue35
97705.6
753811.1
691921.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373720304050603135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.32.2
17.415.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 4.3
21.60.0
17.317.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Second
4026
#34
4.92.2
10.17.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 6.2
7538
#19
11.10.0
7.07.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Third
6023
#21
4.62.2
6.74.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.1
blue by 1.0
9770
#25
5.60.0
8.58.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed