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Red10
33443.6
88499.6
97705.6
Blue11
60234.6
69055.7
59008.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22170501001502002503003501011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8849
#13
9.61.0
6.65.6
Auto0.5
Teleop6.9
End2.2
red by 1.1
5900
#10
8.50.7
7.06.2
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Second
9770
#25
5.61.0
8.57.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 0.1
6905
#16
5.70.7
4.33.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Third
3344
#33
3.61.0
4.13.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.1
blue by 1.0
6023
#21
4.60.7
4.53.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed