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Red6
90575.7
95005.2
58286.5
Blue35
94808.6
75144.6
174617.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20290104050635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5828
#15
6.51.5
6.14.7
Auto0.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
blue by 10.9
17.30.8
15.214.4
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Second
9057
#14
5.71.5
5.84.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 2.9
8.60.8
5.95.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Third
9500
#23
5.21.5
7.25.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 0.6
7514
#29
4.60.8
4.23.4
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned