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Red17
168317.0
97705.6
42404.0
Blue57
110219.6
88499.6
60234.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252520303545551757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.01.0
11.210.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.2
blue by 2.6
19.62.0
12.914.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End0.6
Second
9770
#25
5.61.0
7.56.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 4.0
8849
#13
9.62.0
5.67.6
Auto0.5
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Third
4240
#30
4.01.0
3.72.6
Auto2.6
Teleop0.6
End0.7
blue by 0.6
6023
#21
4.62.0
3.75.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned