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Red34
59008.5
75144.6
745120.1
Blue23
87617.2
17582.3
634016.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26275101520303540453423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.1
14.115.2
Auto10.9
Teleop8.0
End1.3
red by 3.8
16.30.2
15.415.3
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End0.9
Second
5900
#10
8.51.1
6.27.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
red by 1.3
8761
#35
7.20.2
4.03.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
7514
#29
4.61.1
3.44.5
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.5
red by 2.3
1758
#27
2.30.2
5.15.0
Auto1.3
Teleop0.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed