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Red21
168317.0
88666.7
95005.2
Blue29
753811.1
59008.5
33443.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33160102040506070802129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.7
13.012.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.2
red by 5.9
7538
#19
11.11.3
6.37.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Second
8866
#18
6.70.7
9.78.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.9
blue by 1.7
5900
#10
8.51.3
8.59.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Third
9500
#23
5.20.7
4.84.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 1.6
3344
#33
3.61.3
2.03.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed