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Red43
68876.4
691921.6
47015.1
Blue17
87617.2
90575.7
88499.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36160102030405060704317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.2
19.719.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End1.5
red by 12.0
8849
#13
9.60.0
6.16.1
Auto0.5
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Second
6887
#17
6.40.2
7.16.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 0.8
8761
#35
7.20.0
5.05.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
4701
#22
5.10.2
3.23.0
Auto1.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
blue by 0.6
9057
#14
5.70.0
5.85.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed