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Red32
753811.1
634016.3
95827.6
Blue42
670513.3
110219.6
88666.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334101020506070803242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.3
14.714.4
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End0.9
blue by 3.2
19.60.4
17.316.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End0.6
Second
7538
#19
11.10.3
8.78.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 2.2
6705
#11
13.30.4
11.010.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Third
9582
#36
7.60.3
7.26.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End0.4
red by 0.8
8866
#18
6.70.4
8.17.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned