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Red25
90575.7
381512.8
17582.3
Blue70
168317.0
88499.6
670513.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25340102030405060702570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.80.7
13.412.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
blue by 4.2
17.02.0
13.215.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Second
9057
#14
5.70.7
6.86.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 7.6
6705
#11
13.32.2
10.512.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Third
1758
#27
2.30.7
3.52.8
Auto1.3
Teleop0.4
End0.6
blue by 7.3
8849
#13
9.62.0
6.28.3
Auto0.5
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed