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Red37
69444.7
97705.6
411215.5
Blue26
95005.2
56088.2
67126.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23160102030405060703726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.51.0
12.013.0
Auto10.2
Teleop4.7
End0.6
red by 7.3
5608
#20
8.20.6
7.07.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Second
9770
#25
5.61.0
4.95.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 1.2
6712
#31
6.80.6
5.86.5
Auto3.9
Teleop1.5
End1.5
Third
6944
#32
4.71.0
3.44.3
Auto0.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 0.5
9500
#23
5.20.6
2.22.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed