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Red21
68876.4
8326.2
670513.3
Blue38
58286.5
97705.6
59008.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3124010204050602138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6705
#11
13.30.7
12.111.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
red by 4.9
5900
#10
8.50.1
7.67.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Second
6887
#17
6.40.7
7.16.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 0.1
5828
#15
6.50.1
6.26.3
Auto0.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Third
832
#24
6.20.7
8.37.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.1
End0.7
red by 0.6
9770
#25
5.60.1
8.48.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned