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Red68
75144.6
168317.0
40264.9
Blue27
90575.7
753811.1
88499.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27300204060806827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.3
16.316.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.2
red by 5.9
7538
#19
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Second
4026
#34
4.90.3
4.24.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 4.7
8849
#13
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto0.5
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Third
7514
#29
4.60.3
3.94.2
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.5
blue by 1.1
9057
#14
5.70.0
5.75.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End0.3