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Red22
381512.8
60234.6
17582.3
Blue50
40264.9
168317.0
75144.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22250103040502250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.80.0
13.013.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
blue by 4.2
17.00.4
15.616.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Second
6023
#21
4.60.0
4.94.9
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.1
blue by 0.2
4026
#34
4.90.4
3.54.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Third
1758
#27
2.30.0
2.52.6
Auto1.3
Teleop0.4
End0.6
blue by 2.3
7514
#29
4.60.4
3.33.7
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.5