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Red80
85773.1
67054.4
297443.0
Blue33
174616.5
69053.0
56083.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8319040601001201401608033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.2
46.345.1
Auto14.1
Teleop27.7
End1.2
red by 26.5
1746
#27
16.50.6
18.218.8
Auto9.8
Teleop6.5
End0.2
Second
6705
#31
4.41.2
13.412.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
red by 1.1
5608
#29
3.40.6
5.86.4
Auto2.0
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Third
8577
#21
3.11.2
8.06.8
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.2
End0.4
red by 0.1
6905
#24
3.00.6
0.61.2
Auto1.7
Teleop0.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed