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Red104
126134.5
85770.1
177138.3
Blue70
450926.4
168323.4
952211.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886120408010012014010470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.5
39.439.9
Auto20.5
Teleop16.7
End1.1
red by 12.0
26.40.3
25.425.7
Auto14.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Second
34.50.5
35.636.1
Auto14.9
Teleop18.5
End1.1
red by 11.2
23.40.3
22.422.6
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End1.2
Third
8577
#21
0.10.5
1.21.7
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
blue by 11.2
9522
#22
11.40.3
10.410.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End1.0