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Red101
126134.5
85770.1
177138.3
Blue74
450926.4
168323.4
952211.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8364204010012014016010174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.1
38.338.3
Auto20.5
Teleop16.7
End1.1
red by 12.0
26.40.3
26.126.4
Auto14.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Second
34.50.1
34.534.5
Auto14.9
Teleop18.5
End1.1
red by 11.2
23.40.3
23.123.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End1.2
Third
8577
#21
0.10.1
0.10.1
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
blue by 11.2
9522
#22
11.40.3
11.111.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End1.0