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Red18
418817.8
95612.8
10025.6
Blue29
510911.1
948012.2
68298.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244001020305060701829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.6
12.311.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
red by 5.6
9480
#15
12.20.4
7.97.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Second
1002
#28
5.60.6
6.45.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.3
blue by 5.6
11.10.6
13.012.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Third
9561
#19
2.80.4
5.14.7
Auto0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 5.8
6829
#10
8.60.6
13.713.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed