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Red25
88655.7
241514.7
5651-0.0
Blue30
68298.6
47302.8
95612.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162401020304050602530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#11
14.71.1
9.110.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
red by 6.1
6829
#10
8.61.4
10.69.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Second
8865
#23
5.71.1
3.74.8
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
red by 2.8
4730
#20
2.81.4
6.55.1
Auto2.1
Teleop0.2
End0.5
Third
5651
#30
-0.01.1
2.43.5
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.4
End0.3
blue by 2.8
9561
#19
2.80.8
3.72.8
Auto0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed