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Red16
168323.4
81003.9
174613.3
Blue4
90866.1
85770.1
88157.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60140204080100120164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.42.2
24.922.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End1.2
red by 15.6
8815
#14
7.81.4
8.87.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End1.1
Second
13.32.2
15.913.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.3
red by 7.2
9086
#18
6.11.4
8.47.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Third
8100
#27
3.93.2
8.14.9
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End0.5
red by 3.8
8577
#21
0.11.4
1.2-0.2
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed