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Red58
450926.4
873614.3
68298.6
Blue39
10025.6
753816.5
947712.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573102040801005839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.4
24.224.6
Auto14.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
red by 9.9
16.50.1
14.114.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Second
14.30.3
14.314.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End0.4
red by 1.5
9477
#17
12.80.1
10.110.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Third
6829
#10
8.60.4
10.010.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
red by 3.0
1002
#28
5.60.1
6.86.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed