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Red33
529312.7
95612.8
241514.7
Blue8
47302.8
88157.8
44680.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412020406080338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#11
14.70.4
12.613.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
red by 7.0
8815
#14
7.80.5
7.46.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End1.1
Second
5293
#13
12.70.4
14.214.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.2
End0.5
red by 9.9
4730
#20
2.80.5
4.84.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.2
End0.5
Third
9561
#19
2.80.3
1.72.0
Auto0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.7
red by 2.5
4468
#29
0.30.5
1.71.2
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed