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Red34
69103.6
95612.8
168323.4
Blue9
174613.3
873614.3
44680.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3234020406080100349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.3
23.323.0
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End1.2
red by 9.1
14.31.4
15.313.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End0.4
Second
6910
#26
3.60.4
3.63.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.8
blue by 9.7
13.31.4
13.712.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.3
Third
9561
#19
2.80.3
2.01.7
Auto0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.7
red by 2.5
4468
#29
0.31.7
1.2-0.5
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed