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Red63
177138.3
952211.4
74705.0
Blue47
529312.7
948012.2
450926.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5655304050607080906347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.31.0
38.139.1
Auto20.5
Teleop16.7
End1.1
red by 12.0
26.40.4
24.824.4
Auto14.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Second
9522
#22
11.40.9
8.59.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End1.0
blue by 1.3
5293
#13
12.70.4
13.112.7
Auto6.1
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Third
7470
#12
5.00.9
4.05.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 7.2
9480
#15
12.20.3
12.011.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed