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Red90
126134.5
85770.1
177138.3
Blue61
873614.3
88655.7
753816.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90310204060801001201409061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.2
38.739.0
Auto20.5
Teleop16.7
End1.1
red by 21.8
16.50.5
16.216.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Second
34.50.2
34.935.1
Auto14.9
Teleop18.5
End1.1
red by 20.2
14.30.5
13.914.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End0.4
Third
8577
#21
0.10.2
0.50.8
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
blue by 5.5
8865
#23
5.70.5
5.25.7
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6