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Red83
17734.8
53924.6
233729.0
Blue48
608135.4
46134.6
511429.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94128501502008348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#11
34.80.4
34.834.4
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.6
blue by 0.6
6081
#18
35.44.7
38.533.8
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End4.0
Second
2337
#26
29.00.4
29.429.0
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End2.1
blue by 5.6
461
#29
34.64.7
39.334.6
Auto11.4
Teleop21.1
End2.1
Third
539
#62
24.60.4
24.624.2
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End2.6
blue by 5.0
5114
#49
29.64.7
34.329.6
Auto13.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned61%Ensemble oddsEarned