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Red131
246840.1
167642.3
24532.4
Blue83
26376.9
346424.7
180742.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132715010015020013183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.2
42.143.3
Auto11.4
Teleop24.0
End7.0
red by 0.1
42.20.8
41.442.2
Auto11.1
Teleop28.2
End2.9
Second
2468
#25
40.11.2
39.340.5
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End3.1
red by 15.3
3464
#69
24.70.8
24.024.7
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Third
245
#61
32.41.2
31.232.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.6
End2.3
red by 25.5
2637
#70
6.90.8
6.26.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
73%Ensemble oddsEarned48%Ensemble oddsMissed