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Red111
940835.2
86837.3
115331.4
Blue81
128526.3
17734.8
346424.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1158420406010014016018011181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#19
37.30.6
33.532.9
Auto16.1
Teleop18.2
End3.0
red by 2.5
177
#11
34.80.1
31.231.3
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.6
Second
9408
#37
35.20.6
34.333.7
Auto9.0
Teleop23.1
End3.2
red by 8.9
1285
#24
26.30.1
22.222.3
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Third
1153
#30
31.40.6
32.732.1
Auto13.0
Teleop15.5
End2.9
red by 6.6
3464
#69
24.70.1
25.926.0
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
74%Ensemble oddsEarned55%Ensemble oddsMissed