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Red103
34334.6
346748.0
248621.1
Blue91
947820.7
17640.8
53924.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120902040608010014016010391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.5
48.447.9
Auto12.0
Teleop32.7
End3.3
red by 7.1
176
#21
40.80.4
40.741.1
Auto14.2
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Second
343
#35
34.60.5
35.134.6
Auto11.0
Teleop18.1
End5.6
red by 10.0
539
#62
24.60.4
24.224.6
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End2.6
Third
2486
#46
21.10.5
21.521.1
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End0.9
red by 0.4
9478
#74
20.70.4
20.320.7
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsMissed