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Red116
357238.1
940410.8
346748.0
Blue75
115331.4
32424.5
608135.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961155015011675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.7
46.647.2
Auto12.0
Teleop32.7
End3.3
red by 12.6
6081
#18
35.41.8
41.439.6
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End4.0
Second
3572
#15
38.10.7
31.832.4
Auto14.3
Teleop20.8
End3.0
red by 6.7
1153
#30
31.41.8
32.130.3
Auto13.0
Teleop15.5
End2.9
Third
9404
#60
10.80.7
10.811.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 13.8
324
#57
24.51.8
28.426.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned77%Ensemble oddsMissed