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Red119
24532.4
608135.4
300554.9
Blue84
98745.0
409618.7
34334.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14798608012016018020011984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.91.2
49.748.4
Auto16.0
Teleop34.8
End4.2
red by 10.0
987
#5
45.00.7
38.637.9
Auto12.4
Teleop26.4
End6.1
Second
6081
#18
35.41.2
42.641.4
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End4.0
red by 0.7
343
#35
34.60.7
35.134.4
Auto11.0
Teleop18.1
End5.6
Third
245
#61
32.41.2
34.933.7
Auto10.5
Teleop19.6
End2.3
red by 13.7
4096
#71
18.70.7
20.720.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
79%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsMissed