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Red78
940410.8
128526.3
46134.6
Blue75
42428.2
958612.4
528520.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875602040801001201407875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#29
34.60.6
39.038.4
Auto11.4
Teleop21.1
End2.1
red by 6.4
424
#67
28.21.4
25.526.8
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End0.4
Second
1285
#24
26.30.6
26.025.4
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 5.7
5285
#52
20.61.4
19.420.8
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End0.5
Third
9404
#60
10.80.6
10.29.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 1.6
9586
#66
12.41.4
9.711.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
68%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed