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Red94
124126.9
87636.5
32424.5
Blue61
947820.7
157739.3
86231.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95916070801001101201301409461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#23
36.50.6
35.636.1
Auto10.3
Teleop22.8
End3.4
blue by 2.8
1577
#31
39.31.5
33.932.4
Auto12.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
Second
1241
#41
26.90.6
22.322.9
Auto7.8
Teleop17.3
End1.8
blue by 4.7
862
#39
31.61.5
26.725.2
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
Third
324
#57
24.50.6
27.828.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End0.2
red by 3.9
9478
#74
20.71.5
22.421.0
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed