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Red123
173237.8
17640.8
392828.3
Blue141
414334.3
360436.7
115331.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111166080100140160180123141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#21
40.81.2
39.540.8
Auto14.2
Teleop24.7
End1.9
red by 4.2
3604
#12
36.70.4
35.035.4
Auto12.0
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Second
1732
#32
37.81.2
36.737.9
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End5.1
red by 3.5
4143
#28
34.30.4
36.536.9
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End3.0
Third
3928
#40
28.31.2
24.625.8
Auto11.0
Teleop14.5
End2.9
blue by 3.1
1153
#30
31.40.4
33.033.4
Auto13.0
Teleop15.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned68%Ensemble oddsEarned