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Qual 22024 Hawaii Regional
Red12
243816.8
879010.9
772410.4
Blue84
246525.5
209012.5
244331.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35520204060801001284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#26
16.82.4
14.1→11.7
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End2.6
blue by 15.0
2443
#3
31.82.4
18.2→20.6
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End2.2
Second
8790
#17
10.92.4
9.3→6.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
blue by 14.6
2465
#4
25.52.4
18.4→20.8
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
7724
#18
10.42.4
10.2→7.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End1.7
blue by 2.1
2090
#9
12.53.2
8.4→11.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned