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Red63
388226.2
285314.0
388116.6
Blue44
243816.8
244511.0
69099.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443702060801001201401606344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.0
19.120.1
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 9.4
2438
#26
16.81.0
12.313.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End2.6
Second
3881
#11
16.60.9
11.412.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End0.5
red by 5.7
2445
#16
11.01.0
9.710.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.1
End1.2
Third
2853
#10
14.01.6
8.510.1
Auto2.0
Teleop9.4
End2.6
red by 4.6
6909
#14
9.41.0
12.613.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed