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Red31
692010.9
30088.4
90193.5
Blue51
86153.5
24418.6
35950.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128102040601001201403151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6920
#28
10.90.7
10.411.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End0.7
blue by 39.6
359
#1
50.51.3
49.548.2
Auto19.2
Teleop25.0
End6.3
Second
3008
#21
8.40.4
5.45.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 0.3
2441
#20
8.62.2
12.510.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End1.5
Third
9019
#34
3.50.7
3.54.2
Auto0.9
Teleop2.1
End0.5
red by 0.1
8615
#19
3.52.2
3.51.4
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed