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Qual 312024 Hawaii Regional
Red91
388116.6
246525.5
162226.3
Blue71
427031.7
94949.2
670415.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67632040801001201409171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#8
26.31.4
24.0→25.4
Auto11.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
blue by 5.4
4270
#5
31.70.2
33.4→33.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Second
2465
#4
25.51.4
23.6→25.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 10.5
6704
#15
15.00.4
13.7→14.1
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.8
Third
3881
#11
16.61.4
12.4→13.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End0.5
red by 7.5
9494
#22
9.20.4
10.3→10.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned