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Red7
772410.4
24418.6
90193.5
Blue18
90127.3
69099.4
96295.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223801030506070718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7724
#18
10.41.7
7.35.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End1.7
red by 1.0
6909
#14
9.42.2
13.711.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Second
2441
#20
8.61.7
10.38.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End1.5
red by 1.3
9012
#24
7.32.2
11.19.0
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Third
9019
#34
3.51.7
4.52.9
Auto0.9
Teleop2.1
End0.5
blue by 1.8
9629
#27
5.42.2
7.85.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed