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Red58
86153.5
285314.0
427031.7
Blue44
209012.5
388017.7
243816.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5152404555605844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.8
33.734.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.9
End5.0
red by 14.1
3880
#12
17.70.2
18.218.0
Auto6.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Second
2853
#10
14.01.3
8.49.7
Auto2.0
Teleop9.4
End2.6
blue by 2.7
2438
#26
16.80.3
14.614.3
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End2.6
Third
8615
#19
3.51.3
4.35.6
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End1.5
blue by 9.0
12.50.3
14.013.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed