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Red21
69099.4
879010.9
30088.4
Blue11
887111.0
23486.4
96295.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622060802111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8790
#17
10.91.0
13.412.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
blue by 0.1
8871
#29
11.00.8
8.27.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.7
Second
6909
#14
9.41.0
11.510.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
red by 3.0
2348
#33
6.41.3
7.66.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Third
3008
#21
8.40.7
6.05.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
red by 3.0
9629
#27
5.41.3
5.64.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed