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Red59
162226.3
247711.4
285314.0
Blue85
90193.5
427031.7
35950.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4510202060801201405985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.8
26.126.9
Auto11.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
blue by 24.2
359
#1
50.50.0
47.947.9
Auto19.2
Teleop25.0
End6.3
Second
2853
#10
14.01.2
9.710.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.4
End2.6
blue by 17.7
31.70.0
34.434.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Third
2477
#32
11.41.2
11.512.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.8
End0.1
red by 7.9
9019
#34
3.50.0
2.92.8
Auto0.9
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed76%Ensemble oddsEarned