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Red23
244511.0
388017.7
90127.3
Blue47
244331.8
388116.6
86153.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46530204060801001202347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#12
17.71.3
18.717.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 14.1
31.80.0
27.327.3
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End2.2
Second
2445
#16
11.02.0
15.113.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.1
End1.2
blue by 5.7
3881
#11
16.60.0
15.515.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End0.5
Third
9012
#24
7.31.9
8.56.6
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End2.1
red by 3.9
8615
#19
3.50.0
4.54.5
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed