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Red42
247711.4
243816.8
86153.5
Blue86
209012.5
30088.4
388226.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34450204060801004286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#26
16.80.7
16.317.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.5
End2.6
blue by 9.4
26.21.8
23.024.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Second
2477
#32
11.40.8
12.713.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.8
End0.1
blue by 1.1
12.52.2
9.811.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Third
8615
#19
3.50.7
2.93.7
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End1.5
blue by 4.9
3008
#21
8.41.8
6.88.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned