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Red99
244331.8
36845.2
94949.2
Blue26
246525.5
90193.5
388017.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96490204060801201401609926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#2
45.21.2
43.544.7
Auto18.3
Teleop21.8
End5.2
red by 19.7
25.51.6
25.724.1
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Second
31.81.2
29.730.9
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End2.2
red by 14.1
3880
#12
17.71.6
19.017.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Third
9494
#22
9.21.3
7.89.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End1.6
red by 5.6
9019
#34
3.51.8
5.33.5
Auto0.9
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed